Mark the correct alternative in the following:
A biased coin with probability p, 0 < p < 1, of heads is tossed until a head appears for the first time. If the probability that the number of tosses required is even is 2/5, then p equals.
Given:
Probability of getting head to appear first time(r=1), n should be even.
So we have to check probability for n=2,4,6…
P(x=r)= nCr pr qn-r = 2/5
For n=2;
P(X=1)= pq
For n=4
P(X=1) = pq3
Required probability = pq + pq3 + pq5 + … =2/5
2/5= pq(1+ q2 +q4 + …)
4-2p=5-5p
3p= 1
P =1/3